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    Soccer> Community> BET ENSURED>

    Panathinaikos VS FC Viktoria Plzen

    UEFA Europa League
    Analysis More Tips
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    FC Viktoria Plzen
    FC Viktoria Plzen
    Further Reading
    • FAN FOOTBALL 2
      FAN FOOTBALL 2
      Panathinaikos welcome Viktoria Plzen to Athens in a matchup that promises intensity and goals. Therefore, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 home win. The Greens have been strong at home, winning 4 of their last 5 in Athens and averaging 2.8 goals per home match, despite missing Kyriakopoulos, K yr i op o u o s , P ell is t r i, and S a n c he s. R a f a Benitez, however, still has enough high-profile options to maintain control in possession and threaten through multiple attacking channels. Their defensive numbers at home0.69 x GAsuggest they remain difficult to break down. Plzen head into the match after a disappointing 3-0 weekend defeat to S lo v ack o, a match where the absences of Havel, Ko pic, Pa l u s ka, and Pa no s were clearly felt. Still, their away form is impressive: four wins and one draw in their last five and 2.0 goals scored per away game. Their expected goals output on the road (1.70) shows they can create chances even when key players are missing.
      1x2
      UEFA EL Panathinaikos - FC Viktoria Plzen
    • Rinoandi
      Rinoandi Won 4/5
      4. Handicap fair Asian line From the expected goals: Panathinaikos xG (model): ~1.50 Viktoria Plzen xG (model): ~1.25 Expected goal difference: Panathinaikos - Viktoria Plzen +0.25 goals Using the Poisson for individual teams, approximate 1X2 probabilities come out around: Panathinaikos win: ~43% Draw: ~25% Viktoria Plzen win: ~32% This tells us: Home team is a small favourite, but not dominant. The natural fair Asian handicap line from this edge is: Panathinaikos -0.25 On Panathinaikos -0.25 AH (quarter-ball): Home win: ~43% full win on the bet Draw: ~25% half-stake loss Plzen win: ~32% full loss So the match is priced very close to a 0 / -0.25 zone, not anywhere near -0.75 or -1.0. Handicap conclusion: Fair line: Panathinaikos -0.25 If the market goes to Panathinaikos -0.5, numbers would start to create some value on Plzen +0.5. If the market is at 0 (scratch), you can justify a slight lean towards Panathinaikos, but its not a massive edge.
      AH
      UEFA EL Panathinaikos - FC Viktoria Plzen
    • Joy boy Tipster
      Joy boy Tipster
      Come into this game on a solid domestic and European run, with more wins than losses recently. The Green squad has shown good attacking numbers, averaging close to 2 goals per game in recent matches but has also conceded regularly. At home they tend to control tempo, blend possession with measured attacking efforts, and have a strong unbeaten run in many of their recent home fixtures. Plzeň have been very solid defensively in the Europa League, conceding just 2 goals in five group matches so far. Theyve shown resilience away from home and are generally tough to beat undefeated in many recent matches across all competitions, though theyve drawn several. Their attack has been less prolific, with some matches seeing low goal returns. Theres no prior head-to-head history between the two teams, so this is a fresh tactical matchup.
      O/U
      UEFA EL Panathinaikos - FC Viktoria Plzen
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