Karlsruher SC vs SC Paderborn 07 Tips and Predictions O/U Lucky68

German Bundesliga 2

Analysis More Tips

Karlsruher SC

SC Paderborn 07

Further Reading

Cam bo1 Won 9/9

German Bundesliga 2 · Round 16 13-12-2025 20:00 Saturday____The match between Karlsruher SC and SC Paderborn 07 is an interesting clash in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany's second tier), where both teams have a history of promotion aspirations and competitive spirit. Lets dive into the teams backgrounds and how they match up. Possible Outcome Karlsruher SC will likely look to make it a battle of physicality, trying to dominate in defense and use the home advantage to grind out a win. They might be more focused on denying Paderborn space to counter and try to capitalize on set pieces and individual moments from their key attackers. Paderborn, on the other hand, will likely come out looking to control possession and use their attacking flair to break down Karlsruhes defense. They will be the more dynamic team in terms of offensive play, but their defense can be vulnerable if theyre caught on the break or if they leave gaps for counter-attacks.

O/U
GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07
FranCo LeGend

German Bundesliga 2 Karlsruher SC vs SC Paderborn 07 Karlsruher SC Current form: Struggling for consistency Karlsruhe have lost their last few league games and are without a win in multiple matches leading up to this fixture. Home performances: They can be strong at Wildpark good home record historically but recent form has dipped. Defense: Defensive vulnerabilities have shown, conceding goals in several recent outings. SC Paderborn 07 Current form: Paderborn sit higher in the table (around 4th) and are generally in a better position this season. However, theyve struggled for wins in their last few matches including recent defeats. Away performance: Solid at times on the road with a good record historically, making them slight favorites here. Methodical possession play and balanced offense they create chances and have a reliable goalscorer in Filip Bilbija. They may look to control the game and exploit Karlsruher defensive lapses.

O/U
GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07
Rinoandi Won 4/4

1) First I build the two expected goal rates (λ) From your last-7 samples: KSC home (7 games): Goals for = 2+2+2+1+2+2+3 = 14 GF_home = 14/7 = 2.00 Goals against = 3+1+3+0+1+0+2 = 10 GA_home = 10/7 = 1.43 Paderborn away (7 games): Goals for = 2+0+1+1+0+0+1 = 5 GF_away = 5/7 = 0.71 Goals against = 1+1+2+2+2+0+1 = 9 GA_away = 9/7 = 1.29 Then I combine attack vs opponent defence using a geometric mean (same logic as your μ = (attack × defence)): λ_home = (GF_home × GA_away) = (2.00 × 1.29) 1.60 λ_away = (GF_away × GA_home) = (0.71 × 1.43) 1.01 +0.5 65 % Why not AH -0.75? For -0.75 you need more 2+ goal wins. Here: P(KSC win by 2+) is only ~27% So -0.75 is too aggressive compared to how often KSC actually covers. Final: Karlsruher SC -0.5 is the correct AH line from your data.

AH
GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07

More Recommend

Club Sport Emelec VS CD El Nacional I'm a top influencer with long - term and stable information. This is a long - term high - quality product tailored for my followers！ Emelec has had a poor performance in the league this season. After 15 rounds, they have only achieved 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses, ranking 13th in the league table. However, the team has done well in the cup. In 9 Copa Sudamericana matches, they have only lost 1 game. Deportivo Quito has also performed poorly this season. Currently ranked 11th in the league, they have 9 wins, 7 draws and 13 losses in 29 games. In the past 6 head - to - head encounters, Deportivo Quito has 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, holding a certain advantage. Emelec has 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 games, with a fluctuating form. Deportivo Quito has 3 wins and 3 losses in the last 6 games, and their form is also unstable. In terms of physical fitness, Deportivo Quito has a total running distance of 112 km and 189 high - intensity s

AH
ECU LPSA Club Sport Emelec - CD El Nacional

0 Comments

All

By Author

Add Comment

Post

Karlsruher SC VS SC Paderborn 07