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    Soccer> Community> KI BOY 168>

    Karlsruher SC VS SC Paderborn 07

    German Bundesliga 2
    Analysis More Tips
    Karlsruher SC
    Karlsruher SC 0
    4 SC Paderborn 07
    SC Paderborn 07
    Further Reading
    • Rinoandi
      Rinoandi Won 4/4
      1) First I build the two expected goal rates (λ) From your last-7 samples: KSC home (7 games): Goals for = 2+2+2+1+2+2+3 = 14 GF_home = 14/7 = 2.00 Goals against = 3+1+3+0+1+0+2 = 10 GA_home = 10/7 = 1.43 Paderborn away (7 games): Goals for = 2+0+1+1+0+0+1 = 5 GF_away = 5/7 = 0.71 Goals against = 1+1+2+2+2+0+1 = 9 GA_away = 9/7 = 1.29 Then I combine attack vs opponent defence using a geometric mean (same logic as your μ = (attack × defence)): λ_home = (GF_home × GA_away) = (2.00 × 1.29) 1.60 λ_away = (GF_away × GA_home) = (0.71 × 1.43) 1.01 +0.5 65 % Why not AH -0.75? For -0.75 you need more 2+ goal wins. Here: P(KSC win by 2+) is only ~27% So -0.75 is too aggressive compared to how often KSC actually covers. Final: Karlsruher SC -0.5 is the correct AH line from your data.
      AH
      GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07
    • Sam Luk
      Sam Luk Won 5/6
      Karlsruher SC VS SC Paderborn 07 Both teams are in poor form recently, and the point gap between them is only 6 points. It's quite exaggerated that Paderborn is given a 0.5-goal handicap as the away team in today's odds. Asian odds play on people's psychology. We need to analyze whether this reflects the real preference of the oddsmakers or if they deliberately set high odds to create an illusion that Paderborn can win and mislead the fans. When seeing such odds, we can't subjectively judge which team is more favored. Different people have different thoughts. However, there is some information you need to know. Last week, Karlsruher SC terminated its cooperation with assistant coach Baramovic. Although head coach Eisner said there was no conflict between them, the impact on daily work arrangements and players was rather subtle. Baramovic and Eisner had worked together for 9 years. Pre - match training arrangements and tactical analysis were all handled by this assistant coach. Now, alt
      AH
      GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07
    • Gollll
      Gollll
      Karlsruher SC VS SC Paderborn 07 Germany, an explosive force！ One post covers 3 games！ Super 3 - game parlay！ Yesterday, both bets on the 2. Bundesliga were successful！ Achieved 5 consecutive wins in the 2. Bundesliga！ Aim for 6 consecutive wins today！ Bet with confidence！ - Bielefeld vs. Kaiserslautern - Karlsruhe vs. Paderborn - Magdeburg vs. Holstein Kiel Paderborn currently ranks 4th in the 2. Bundesliga standings with a record of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, showing a stable overall performance. The team is in hot form recently, achieving 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 10 matches across all competitions, with a balanced performance in both attack and defense. In the attacking line, strikers like Forhat are highly threatening. However, the absence of key players recently may have a certain impact on the attacking end. On the defensive end, with the suspension of key center - back Baevers, the stability of the back - line needs further observation. Who will
      O/U
      GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07
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